Does Remaining 8 Arsenal Fixtures Mean They Have The Best Run-In? (Image Credit: The Independent)
Does Remaining 8 Arsenal Fixtures Mean They Have The Best Run-In? (Image Credit: The Independent)

With eight games left in the English Premier League campaign, Tottenham Hotspur, Arsenal, Manchester United and Chelsea all have a realistic chance of securing Champions League football next season.

Concise News reports that just a few weeks ago, Spurs were hot on the heels of both Liverpool and Manchester City and even being talked about as potential Premier League title winners.

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However, a dismal run of just one point taken from their past four games has seen them fall off the pace, with their place in the top four now under serious threat.

Arsenal now sit just one point behind their north London rivals after an impressive 2-0 victory over Manchester United on Sunday evening. The Gunners appear to be on the right track and crucially have no remaining games against the Premier League’s big six.

But Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s United cannot be discounted from securing their place in the top four. Since the Norwegian’s arrival, they have been in tremendous form, with their miraculous victory in Paris last week demonstrating that they clearly are still strong.

Sitting four points back are Chelsea, who dropped another two points on Sunday with a disappointing 1-1 draw with Wolves. But like Arsenal, Maurizio Sarri’s team also have a chance of returning to the Champions League by winning this season’s Europa League.

By calculating the average points-per-game home and away of each top-flight club, we can weigh up the difficulty of each of the four club’s run-ins and see where the race for the top four may be won and lost.

Arsenal

Current position: 4th

Points: 60

Average home/away points of opponents: 1.27

Of the four sides in focus, Arsenal have the statistically greatest chance of finishing in the top four and securing Champions League football for next season.

Unai Emery’s side have performed well in their past two league fixtures. A draw at Wembley against Tottenham and a win over Manchester United at the Emirates places them in a very strong position with eight games remaining.

Arsenal have no more games remaining against the top six. Of their next eight fixtures, the most challenging is a trip to Watford in mid-April.

Their next two away trips, against Wolves and Everton, are also tricky. Arsenal comfortably saw off Everton 2-0 at the Emirates but were held to a 1-1 draw by Wolves back in November.

Thereafter, Arsenal finish the season with absolutely winnable matches against Brighton & Hove Albion at the AMEX, who have the fourth worst away record in the league, and Burnley at Turf Moor, who have the fourth-worst home record.

Arsenal must also contend with their Europa League responsibilities. Although trailing Rennes 3-1 in their round of 16 tie, it may yet work in their favour to be knocked out at an earlier stage.

Arsenal’s remaining fixtures

01/04 Newcastle (H)

07/04 Everton (A)

15/04 Watford (A)

20/04 Crystal Palace (H)

29/04 Leicester (A)

04/05 Brighton (H)

12/05 Burnley (A)

TBC Wolves (A)

United’s remaining Premier League fixtures

United vs Watford – 30 March

Wolves vs United – 2 April

United vs West Ham – 13 April

Everton vs United – 21 April

City vs United – 24 April

United vs Chelsea – 28 April

Huddersfield vs United – 4 May

United vs Cardiff – 12 May

Chelsea’s remaining Premier League fixtures

Chelsea vs Brighton – TBD

Everton vs Chelsea – 17 March

Cardiff vs Chelsea – 31 March

Chelsea vs West Ham – 8 April

Liverpool vs Chelsea – 14 April

Chelsea vs Burnley – 22 April

United vs Chelsea – 28 April

Chelsea vs Watford – 4 May

Leicester vs Chelsea – 12 May

Tottenham’s remaining Premier League fixture

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace – TBD

Liverpool vs Tottenham – 31 March

Tottenham vs Brighton – 7 April

Tottenham Huddersfield – 13 April

City vs Tottenham – 20 April

Tottenham vs West Ham – 27 April

Bournemouth vs Tottenham – 4 May

Tottenham vs Everton – 12 May